Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in the fields of pig breeding and broiler breeding. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that: 1. Pig breeding: the loss of outsourcing piglet breeding has expanded. Based on the function value of fertile sows and MSY framework, the operation judgment of pig price in 2024 was basically verified. With regard to the trend of pig price in 2025, the annual average price runs relatively smoothly, and the difference lies in the continuous optimization of the total cost of excellent pig enterprises, which brings more than expected breeding profits. In addition, the impact point of the pig price in 2025 lies in the impact of the current winter climate change on the epidemic situation, which needs to be continuously tracked. It is suggested to pay attention to pig enterprises with leading/continuous improvement in cost control industry, relatively healthy funds and reasonable valuation. 2. Broiler breeding: 1) Yellow feather chicken: Many factors, such as low production capacity, may push up the price of yellow chicken, and the cost advantage of the head enterprise will be superimposed on the price to improve, and the profit elasticity has an advantage. It is recommended to pay attention to Lihua shares. 2) White feather chicken: In early December, avian influenza broke out in Oklahoma and New Zealand. New Zealand has announced that it will stop exporting poultry products; The introduction of Oklahoma, the only introduction state in the United States, is expected to be blocked. According to Boya Hexun, the domestic Anweijie poultry farm has received a notice of suspension of introduction; In other respects, the amount of seeds available in France and the reopening time of other States in the United States are still uncertain. If the production capacity of ancestral white chickens in China is reduced or the introduction is stopped due to the influence of overseas avian influenza, the industry boom cycle is expected to go up, and it is suggested to pay attention to the plate.The US military suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government. On the 9th, the US military said that it had suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government of the relevant situation. According to the Associated Press, the suspension of the flight was related to the plane crash that almost happened at an air base in New Mexico on November 20th.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 3.489 billion yuan. As of December 9, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 951.454 billion yuan, an increase of 223 million yuan over the previous trading day; The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 901.246 billion yuan, an increase of 3.266 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,852.70 billion yuan, an increase of 3.489 billion yuan over the previous trading day.
Twenty-four companies disclosed the progress of repurchase. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird had the highest amount of fire repurchase plans. On December 10th, a total of 24 companies issued stock repurchase announcements. Among them, seven companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, one company's repurchase plan was approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and 12 companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of stock repurchase plans of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird have the highest repurchase plans, and they are planned to repurchase no more than 2.5 billion yuan, 100 million yuan and 86.1216 million yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, a total of one company's repurchase plan exceeded 10 million on that day. Henghui Security has the highest repurchase amount, and it is planned to repurchase no more than 60 million yuan.Details of the arrest of the person involved in the killing of the CEO of the insurance giant in new york surfaced: Luigi Mangione, who was regarded by the new york police as the person involved in the murder of Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, was arrested in Pennsylvania on Monday, and now he is accused of possessing illegal firearms and using false identification. According to the criminal indictment issued by the Pennsylvania court system on Monday night, Mangione, 26, made her first appearance in the court in Hollidaysburg. He was charged with five counts, including forgery, holding a gun without a license and showing false documents to law enforcement agencies. Mangione was detained by the police after being recognized and reported by employees in a McDonald's restaurant in Altoona that morning. The police officer asked him to show his identity, and Mangione took out a New Jersey driver's license named "Mark Rosario" and the date of birth was July 1998. The police officer then asked him if he had been to new york recently. "The man fell silent and began to tremble," the indictment said. When more police arrived at the scene, Mangione was told that he was under investigation and would be arrested if he lied about his identity. He later said that his name was Luigi Mangione and that he was born in May 1998. A police officer asked Mangione why he lied, and he replied, "I obviously shouldn't." The police arrested him on charges of forgery and providing false information to law enforcement agencies. He was handcuffed, searched and taken back to the police station. A black pistol and a silencer were found in his backpack, both of which were made of 3D printers. This pistol has a metal sleeve, a metal threaded barrel and a plastic handle, and a Glock magazine with six 9mm bullets. A dropped bullet was also found in the defendant's backpack.Oracle Bone Inscriptions's revenue in the fiscal quarter did not surprise investors. The stock price fell after hours, and the quarterly revenue of database giant Oracle Bone Inscriptions met expectations, which disappointed some investors who hoped that the cloud business would perform better. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares fell in after-hours trading. Oracle Bone Inscriptions announced after-hours Monday that its second-quarter revenue increased by 9% to $14.1 billion. Cloud business revenue increased by 52% to $2.4 billion, in line with analysts' expectations. Oracle Bone Inscriptions has been trying to find its foothold in the computing and storage leasing market, which is now dominated by larger competitors Amazon and Microsoft. Larry Ellision, chairman of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, paid special attention to the company's ability to provide hardware and integrated software for handling artificial intelligence tasks. Safra Catz, CEO of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, said in the performance conference call that the company expects revenue growth of about 8% in the third quarter, excluding some projects, earnings per share is expected to be between 1.47 and 1.51 dollars, and cloud business revenue is expected to increase by about 24%. These performance prospects are not as good as analysts' estimates. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares closed at $190.45 on Monday, down about 7% in after-hours trading. The company's share price has soared by 81% this year.
Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.CITIC Securities: The supply or trend of government bonds will increase, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the supply or trend of government bonds will increase in the medium and long term, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. Under the logic of debt conversion, the continuous issuance of replacement special bonds will reduce the capital occupation of the banking system, but it will also increase the pressure of interest margin on the asset side, which may have a greater impact on small and medium-sized rural commercial banks. In addition, banks undertake a large number of medium and long-term interest-rate bonds or put pressure on their liquidity indicators, but at present, all indicators of state-owned banks have a high margin of safety, and we think the overall impact may be more controllable. At the beginning of next year, we can focus on the influence of small and medium-sized banks' bond buying behavior, or form a certain bullish support for long-term bond interest rates.China Seismological Network officially determined that a magnitude 5.7 earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA (39.05 degrees north latitude and 118.85 degrees west longitude) at 07: 08 on December 10th with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13